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What’s a Decode? It’s how we help you make sense of economic news, we explain what happened and why it matters to you. Get the monthly roundup delivered straight to your inbox.


තවත් IMF වැඩසටහනකට අපිට යන්න වෙයිද?
IMF එකෙන් හම්බවුණ ණය මේ වෙලාවෙ ලංකාවට බලපාන හැටි සහ දැන් වෙද්දි අපිට තිබෙන ආර්ථික ප්රශ්න වලට විකල්ප විසඳුම් ගැන අරුත එක්ක කතා කළා.

Team Arutha
Jun 19


Will reducing the VAT threshold to Rs 36 million lead to an increase in prices and inflation?
While many fear that reducing the VAT threshold to Rs 36 million will cause inflation, Sri Lanka's recent history with VAT threshold reductions have proven otherwise. Read the latest op-ed on VAT threshold reductions by Arutha Director Rehana Thowfeek.

Rehana Thowfeek
Dec 3, 2025


Budget 2026 projections cloud para-tariff phase-out, Arutha warns
"If revenue from PAL, CESS and SCL are expected to grow every year until 2028, signaling a clear mismatch between the hashtag#budget2026 policy announcement and the numbers underpinning the budget".

Team Arutha
Nov 19, 2025


Sri Lanka must open up and trade its way to recovery: Economist
Arutha's Rehana Thowfeek warns that Sri Lanka’s inward-looking trade policies have backfired. She urges tariff reform, fewer bureaucratic procedures, more digitisation, and better infrastructure to boost exports.

Team Arutha
Oct 8, 2025


Sri Lanka-US trade: 90 days and no-deal later
Sri Lanka may be a small player in global trade, but the recent US tariff hike is a big wake-up call. "Sri Lanka obviously cannot flatten its trade deficit of over US$2 billion by simply buying more from the US. Further negotiations are possible, but a beneficial bilateral deal seems far from the horizon. Transshipping is not feasible. A 30% tariff looms. Repercussions are significant."

Rehana Thowfeek
Jul 13, 2025
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