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Will reducing the VAT threshold to Rs 36 million lead to an increase in prices and inflation?
While many fear that reducing the VAT threshold to Rs 36 million will cause inflation, Sri Lanka's recent history with VAT threshold reductions have proven otherwise. Read the latest op-ed on VAT threshold reductions by Arutha Director Rehana Thowfeek.

Rehana Thowfeek
Dec 3, 2025


Budget 2026 announces phasing out of para tariffs but forecasts growing revenue collections from PAL, CESS and SCL till 2028
Signals a mismatch between announced policy and revenue projections.

Team Arutha
Nov 27, 2025


Full benefit of VAT removal on locally-produced liquid milk and yoghurt is not passed onto consumers
Prices should have reduced by 15%, but in reality only reduced by 6%.

Team Arutha
Nov 20, 2025


Budget 2026 projections cloud para-tariff phase-out, Arutha warns
"If revenue from PAL, CESS and SCL are expected to grow every year until 2028, signaling a clear mismatch between the hashtag#budget2026 policy announcement and the numbers underpinning the budget".

Team Arutha
Nov 19, 2025


Decoded: Imported big onions and potatoes still cheaper despite Special Commodity Levy (SCL)
Imported big onions are 13% cheaper and imported potatoes are 35% cheaper than locally produced big onions and potatoes despite the special commodity levy (SCL) on imports.

Team Arutha
Oct 27, 2025


Sri Lanka must open up and trade its way to recovery: Economist
Arutha's Rehana Thowfeek warns that Sri Lanka’s inward-looking trade policies have backfired. She urges tariff reform, fewer bureaucratic procedures, more digitisation, and better infrastructure to boost exports.

Team Arutha
Oct 8, 2025


Removing SVAT doesn't work, neither does keeping it
In this issue, we unpack the Simplified VAT (SVAT) system and explore the new risk-based refund scheme.

Team Arutha
Oct 2, 2025


Decoded: Resistence against government's plan to scrap the Simplified VAT (SVAT) system
The government’s plan to scrap the Simplified VAT (SVAT) system faces resistance from businesses from several industries.

Team Arutha
Oct 1, 2025


Decoded: Understanding the CEB’s proposed 6.8% tariff hike
CEB is seeking a 6.8% tariff increase to cover it's losses amidst protests against power sector reforms.

Team Arutha
Sep 23, 2025


VAT on Digital Services is Not a Tax on the Digital Economy
Sri Lanka’s current Value Added Tax (VAT) framework has not kept pace with the growing volume of cross-border digital transactions. In response, the government is now moving forward with a proposal to extend the standard VAT rate of 18% to digital services provided from abroad to consumers in Sri Lanka. Arutha’s latest brief unpacks this new policy to better understand its implications.

Team Arutha
Aug 6, 2025


Decoded: Tax exemptions alone rarely attract Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs)
SL has used tax exemptions to attract foreign direct investment for decades with limited success.

Team Arutha
Jul 21, 2025


Sri Lanka-US trade: 90 days and no-deal later
Sri Lanka may be a small player in global trade, but the recent US tariff hike is a big wake-up call. "Sri Lanka obviously cannot flatten its trade deficit of over US$2 billion by simply buying more from the US. Further negotiations are possible, but a beneficial bilateral deal seems far from the horizon. Transshipping is not feasible. A 30% tariff looms. Repercussions are significant."

Team Arutha
Jul 13, 2025


Understanding Wealth Taxation in Sri Lanka: An Introduction
As wealth inequality increases globally, sentiments in favour of taxing the wealthiest in society continue to gain momentum. Although Sri Lanka experimented with taxes on wealth shortly after its independence, many of these measures have since been abolished. There are only a few minor taxes on assets at present, and these contribute little to government revenue. This begs the question: What should taxing wealth look like for Sri Lanka? Arutha’s newest publication “Understand

Team Arutha
Dec 4, 2024
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